Why can’t Obama get off the mat? He’s outspending Romney at a fever clip. The race is still even. He been on offense for weeks attacking Romney’s Bain tenure and tax returns. The race is still even…
As a Presidential candidate, Romney is serviceable thus far. He’s hitting his marks, as we say in the movie business. There’s been no major flubs, little self-inflicted controversy. He occasionally hits it out of the park…and is dutifully ignored by much of the media. Romney is not defeating Obama.
The race is close because Obama is defeating Obama. The Obama we were sold in 2008 is giving Obama 2012 fits. Obama cannot attack the one person in the race that is holding him back: The hologram Obama of 2008. There’s no magic left, only residue and habit. Obama 08 has not been forgotten. The President himself seems determined to resurrect that earlier creation – to run a large, TV driven, stadium campaign. As he does, everyone is reminded of who they thought he was. Disappointment is the result, not excitement.
I suspect Obama polling in the mid forties out of habit. (He may get a small boost given the events in Colorado. Presidents usually do in these moments.) Then what? Obama returns to bombast buttressed – this time – by overt negativity.
If this alone were going to work we’d see some solid movement in polls toward the President. Subtly the case for Romney is being built. Much of it emerging from Obama’s focus on Bain. The positive case for a Obama second term, warts and all, is nowhere to be found.
I’ve wondered here if Romney understood how brutal the Obama campaign would be. I now wonder if Obama is capable of getting away from his 2008 creation. Or even if he understands that he needs to. 2012 is not 2008. We don’t ache for hope again. We ache for competence.
- Why Romney Will Win (realclearpolitics.com)
- Romney closes 12-point gap to tie Obama in Virginia, poll finds (politico.com)