We have a few rolling poll averages taken largely since Paul Ryan was announced as Romney’s pick for VP. Gallup has Romney on top by 2. Rasmussen, taken entirely after the Ryan pick, has MR up by 3. Things have bounced around in these polls very tightly for a while now. What we can infer is that the Ryan pick did no immediate harm to Romney. I can infer all by my lonesome that Ryan inspired the GOP base and, in essence, closed the deal with conservatives. They’ll show up now and that could make the difference.
Ryan’s approval/disapproval is 39% to 25% respectively, meaning a big chunk of people just don’t know him well enough to have an opinion. Though being well ahead in the approval derby is a far better place for Ryan to start. As I mentioned earlier: On first blush, he’s likable. He’s not an easy target either. His plan is an easy target. He’s not. It’s interesting to watch Democrats try to demonize a plan, not mock a person. They are not very good at it. Many are out of practice discussing real issues. Mockery of Ryan is coming and it will probably be fun. I’m not up on my current SNL cast members but think Alec Baldwin 50 pounds ago riding around in the Wienermobile. Someone will nail it.
How Ryan is defined over the next few days matters. Based on what I’ve seen so far the Democrats are trying mightily – and failing – to demonize Ryan. This could change of course. One crappy interview is all the media needs. So far support for Ryan is coming from some vaguely surprising places. And the criticism is borderline pathetic.
Debbie Wasserman-Schultz needs to go away. Is Bill Clinton the only Democrat left standing who understands how to clock Republicans in a way the middle appreciates? Progs have turned the party into a bunch of blabbering boobs always on the verge of screaming the truth by accident and appearing frustrated that they can’t. JUST LET ME CONFUSE THINGS WITH GIBBERISH! If we talk issues we might lose and if we lose we can’t tell everyone how to live and then people will feel bad because we know better and they look to us to know how to feel! For time’s sake this is often distilled down to one word: Racist! Sometimes two: Grandma! Cliff! At any rate, Ryan is holding up well so far.
Democrats will have to figure out a way to attack Ryan’s plan in way that isn’t easily rebutted hysteria. If Wolf Blitzer is dismissing your talking points out hand – ya got problems. As with 2010 there is a case the Democrats could make but it lacks emotionalism, so they will blow dog whistles instead. This is more fun I suppose. I’m not sure there is anyone left in the party (except Bill Clinton) who can make the case calmly, such is the corrosiveness of hologram Obama. Biden told a largely black audience today that Romney wanted to put “y’all“ back in chains. As always, comments like this both assume black voters are toddlers and send ever more white voters quietly fleeing. I can almost feel Biden’s brain thinking “There are black people here! Hit ‘y’all’ hard!” Giuliani asked out loud if Biden has the mental capacity to be President. A question well worth pondering. I think Biden’s smart enough – when he lays off the sauce.
Post Ryan announcement, the race is still up for grabs in my estimation. The emergent Romney narrative of “put adults back in charge” is becoming clearer. Obama’s narrative remains making the other side toxic. Tough sell, but doable. The Chicago cabal is good at its job.
- The 3 Dumbest Things Democrats Have Said in the Last Day (theatlantic.com)
- Biden calls Ryan policies ‘irresponsible’ (miamiherald.com)