Ah…I appear to stuck in prediction mode this week. I came right up to the edge of a big prediction last night. Tonight I’ll go at it again and this time dive over the cliff. Israel will attack Iran. The only way this won’t happen is if a popular revolt topples the Iranian government or Netanyahu is removed from power. Barring those two events – this attack will happen. The question is - when? A few weeks ago I said I thought it would be after our election and before the New Year – giving the Mayan Calendar consortium a P.R. boost. Being a History Channel junkie, let’s stick with that time frame.
Whatever anyone believes about the morality of the coming war what matters here is this: Israel – or rather, Netanyahu – believes he has no choice. He won’t allow himself to go down in history as the man who looked on as Iran obtained nukes. Can’t say as I blame him. Think JFK and the Cuban Missile Crisis. If Kennedy had shrugged while the Russians weaponized Cuba he’d hardly be a hero today.
The reason I bring this up again today is the weird spectacle of Obama refusing to meet with Netanyahu later this month when the Israeli Prime Minister is in the U.S. Obama’s schedule is “full” according to the White House, a lie so ridiculous one can only see it as a nasty little joke. Our President doesn’t do much of anything except campaign and golf. One less trip to a tire factory in Dayton might be in order given the stakes.
I’m going to go out on a limb here (snark) and tell some self-evident truth: Obama doesn’t like Israel. He doesn’t like Netanyahu. He doesn’t want to be bothered an annoying world crisis while on his campaign/adulation/bear hug tour. And, the man with the kill list probably takes some pleasure in insulting Netanyahu. Men with kill lists tend to be a certain type.
There is no good reason to stiff are Netanyahu. The meeting would present good pics for the campaign and add ballast to the foreign policy digs at Romney. It would present a united front – at least in the photo-op. It would help with Jewish voters in swing states. And it gives Obama a chance to push for more time. The upside is substantial.
Still, Obama is busy. With what? Maybe he thinks if he ignores Israel, Israel will go away. A better choice is to engage and find a way to avoid a catastrophe.